Язык:Русский
Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Alex Michelsen (Хозяева)
Прогноз 58.79%1.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.82%
Преимущество -1.09%
Kelly -2.72%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.67
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.85%58.83%58.78%61.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.531.611.621.6765.36%62.08%61.73%59.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Francisco Cerundolo (Гости)
Прогноз 41.21%2.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.09%
Преимущество -0.455%
Kelly -0.780%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.93%41.17%41.22%43.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.292.302.4045.45%43.60%43.48%41.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Alex Michelsen (Хозяева): 58.79%; Francisco Cerundolo (Гости): 41.21%. Для исхода «Francisco Cerundolo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.43. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.40, математическое ожидание — -1.09%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.57%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 20:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.92%E -0.805%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:23 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.29%E -5.31%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.09%E -0.455%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |