Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo

2026-08-05 18:50 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Previsão 61.12%1.64odd justa
EV -0.980%
Vantagem -0.605%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.67%61.12%61.08%62.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.561.561.6268.03%64.30%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 38.88%2.57odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.649%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.03%38.88%38.92%41.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.432.5344.44%41.38%41.15%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alex Michelsen (Local): 61.12%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 38.88%. Para Alex Michelsen (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.64. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.62, com valor esperado de -0.980%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.980%E -0.605%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 08:14
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:25
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 20:34
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:50
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:55
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:45
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 17:10
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 12:40
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.64%E -0.649%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 14:35
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:54
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:58
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:50
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 07:44
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:01
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:01
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:05
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:05
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:50
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:58
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:34
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 13:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 13:25
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 12:15
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:04
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 14:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:14
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:50
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 12:09
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:04
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:13
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:14
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 14:50
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 14:50
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.25%E -3.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.54%E -6.44%K -19.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.53%E -5.57%K -10.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 14:49
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.15%E -6.90%K -21.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 09:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-08-04 22:55