Language:English
Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Basaksehir (Local)
Prediction 58.17%1.72fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.74%58.20%58.27%60.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.67%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kasimpasa SK (Visit)
Prediction 17.88%5.59fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.332%
Kelly +0.402%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%17.84%17.79%19.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.185.225.7021.74%19.32%19.14%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.95%4.18fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.558%
Kelly -0.740%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%23.96%23.94%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.873.904.0828.57%25.82%25.64%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Basaksehir (Local): 58.17%; Kasimpasa SK (Visit): 17.88%; Draw: 23.95%. For Kasimpasa SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.84%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.05%EV +1.89%E +0.332%K +0.402%G +0.008% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -7.31%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.39%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.58%EV -2.28%E -0.558%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.74%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +0.103%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -12.74%E -8.49%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.50%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.66%EV -3.47%E -0.643%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.17%E -4.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -11.00%E -7.19%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.19%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -9.25%E -5.93%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -17.77%E -3.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.35% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |