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Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

2026-08-30 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Basaksehir (Local)

Prediction 59.06%1.69fair odd
EV +7.50%
Edge +4.12%
Kelly +9.14%
Growth +0.686%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%58.45%59.04%59.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.571.8268.03%63.31%63.69%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visit)

Prediction 18.06%5.54fair odd
EV -0.675%
Edge -0.123%
Kelly -0.150%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.24%18.49%18.09%24.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.935.005.5025.97%20.27%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%23.06%22.87%24.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.964.004.2627.78%25.24%25.00%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Basaksehir (Local): 59.06%; Kasimpasa SK (Visit): 18.06%; Draw: 22.88%. For Basaksehir (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.82, producing a positive expected value of +7.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +7.50%E +4.12%K +9.14%G +0.686%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -30.47%E -7.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.21%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +7.50%E +4.12%K +9.14%G +0.686%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -30.47%E -7.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.21%E -3.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.46%EV -3.72%E -2.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.78%EV -1.58%E -0.289%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%EV -2.55%E -0.598%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -0.675%E -0.123%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 21:25
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.16%EV -5.50%E -3.44%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.93%EV -4.65%E -0.880%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.92%EV -5.52%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.09%E -3.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -0.675%E -0.123%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.68%E -4.23%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 20:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -4.29%E -0.809%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 21:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.19%E -0.988%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.19%E -0.988%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 21:19
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -6.09%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 21:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 20:50
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:24
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.27%E -4.63%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:19
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.45%E -5.45%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 21:04
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.63%E -6.29%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.70%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.50%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 21:23
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -10.22%E -6.72%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -11.51%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 20:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -11.40%E -7.60%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -16.93%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -11.40%E -7.60%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.67%EV -16.03%E -3.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-23 20:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -11.40%E -7.60%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -18.73%E -4.16%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -17.65%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 57.50%EV -13.17%E -8.96%K -28.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.66%EV -22.35%E -5.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.84%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%18.3%2026-08-23 21:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.82%5.1%2026-08-23 21:35
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 57.49%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.47%16.7%2026-08-23 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 19:55
Arbitrage (570 combinations) +3.52%Betsson 1.82 (56.9%) / Coolbet 5.50 (18.8%) / 1xBet 4.26 (24.3%)Show all 570 combinations
Basaksehir (Local)Kasimpasa SK (Visit)DrawMargin
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.9%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.3%)+3.52%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.9%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.3%)+3.52%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.9%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.3%)+3.52%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.9%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.3%)+3.52%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.8%)1xBet🎯 5.45 (19.0%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.3%)+3.34%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.8%)1xBet🎯 5.45 (19.0%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.3%)+3.34%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.6%)1xBet🎯 5.45 (18.9%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.5%)+2.98%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.6%)1xBet🎯 5.45 (18.9%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.5%)+2.98%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.5%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.4%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.1%)+2.79%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.5%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.4%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.1%)+2.79%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.4%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.13 (24.9%)+2.73%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.4%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.13 (24.9%)+2.73%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.4%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.13 (24.9%)+2.73%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.4%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.13 (24.9%)+2.73%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.4%)Pinnacle🎯 5.28 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.1%)+2.71%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.4%)Pinnacle🎯 5.28 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.1%)+2.71%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.4%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.1%)+2.60%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.1%)+2.60%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.4%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.1%)+2.60%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.26 (24.1%)+2.60%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.45 (18.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.13 (24.8%)+2.56%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.45 (18.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.13 (24.8%)+2.56%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Codere (IT)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Codere (IT)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Codere (IT)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Codere (IT)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%

Showing 50 of 570 combinations