Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 18:29 UTC

Score final : Basaksehir 1–1 Kasimpasa SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir (Local)

Prévision 58.17%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.74%58.20%58.27%60.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.67%62.50%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.88%5.59cote équitable
EV +1.89%
Avantage +0.332%
Kelly +0.402%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.55%17.84%17.79%19.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.185.225.7021.74%19.32%19.14%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.95%4.18cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.558%
Kelly -0.740%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.76%23.96%23.94%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.873.904.0828.57%25.82%25.64%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Basaksehir (Local) : 58.17% ; Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur) : 17.88% ; Match nul : 23.95%. Pour Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.59. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.70, soit une espérance positive de +1.89%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.84%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.05%EV +1.89%E +0.332%K +0.402%G +0.008%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -7.31%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.39%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.58%EV -2.28%E -0.558%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.74%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +0.103%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -12.74%E -8.49%K -25.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 18:25
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.50%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.66%EV -3.47%E -0.643%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 17:50
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.17%E -4.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -11.00%E -7.19%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.19%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -9.25%E -5.93%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -17.77%E -3.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-30 18:25
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.35%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-08-30 18:20