Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

2026-08-30 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Résultat du match

24 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir (Local)

Prévision 58.38%1.71cote équitable
EV +6.25%
Avantage +3.44%
Kelly +7.62%
Croissance +0.477%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%57.91%58.43%59.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.591.8266.67%62.66%62.89%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.50%5.41cote équitable
EV +1.74%
Avantage +0.317%
Kelly +0.388%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.24%18.81%18.45%24.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.845.005.5025.97%20.64%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.12%4.33cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -0.632%
Kelly -0.829%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.65%23.28%23.13%24.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.933.984.2127.78%25.47%25.16%23.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Basaksehir (Local) : 58.38% ; Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur) : 18.50% ; Match nul : 23.12%. Pour Basaksehir (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.71. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.82, pour une espérance positive de +6.25%.

Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +6.25%E +3.44%K +7.62%G +0.477%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -28.78%E -7.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +6.25%E +3.44%K +7.62%G +0.477%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -28.78%E -7.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.71%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -1.96%E -0.369%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.33%EV -4.36%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.17%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 22:20
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 22:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.35%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -7.18%E -4.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -7.18%E -4.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -5.65%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.88%E -0.549%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.80%E -0.732%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 21:24
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:24
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.38%EV -11.45%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.09%E -6.55%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.60%E -4.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 21:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.84%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -15.61%E -4.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.43%E -8.29%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.10%EV -12.43%E -8.29%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.52%EV -24.15%E -5.89%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.38%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-23 22:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.82%5.1%2026-08-23 21:35
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 56.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%16.3%2026-08-23 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 19:55
Arbitrage (402 combinaisons) +3.22%Betsson 1.82 (56.7%) / Coolbet 5.50 (18.8%) / 1xBet 4.21 (24.5%)Afficher les 402 combinaisons
Basaksehir (Local)Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.49%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.49%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.4%)+2.44%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.4%)+2.44%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.31%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.31%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.25%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.25%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.12%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.12%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.06%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.06%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.2%)+2.00%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.2%)+2.00%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+1.94%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+1.94%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.5%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.91%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.5%)betfred_uk🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.91%

50 combinaisons affichées sur 402