Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

2026-08-30 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Frente a frente

24 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Basaksehir (Local)

Previsão 58.38%1.71odd justa
EV +6.25%
Vantagem +3.44%
Kelly +7.62%
Crescimento +0.477%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%57.91%58.43%59.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.601.591.8266.67%62.66%62.89%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visitante)

Previsão 18.50%5.41odd justa
EV +1.74%
Vantagem +0.317%
Kelly +0.388%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.24%18.81%18.45%24.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.845.005.5025.97%20.64%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.12%4.33odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -0.632%
Kelly -0.829%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.65%23.28%23.13%24.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.933.984.2127.78%25.47%25.16%23.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Basaksehir (Local): 58.38%; Kasimpasa SK (Visitante): 18.50%; Empate: 23.12%. Para Basaksehir (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.71. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.82, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +6.25%.

Odds das casas de apostas (24 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +6.25%E +3.44%K +7.62%G +0.477%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -28.78%E -7.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +6.25%E +3.44%K +7.62%G +0.477%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -28.78%E -7.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.71%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -1.96%E -0.369%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.33%EV -4.36%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.17%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 22:20
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 22:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.35%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -7.18%E -4.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -7.18%E -4.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -5.65%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.88%E -0.549%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.80%E -0.732%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 21:24
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:24
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.38%EV -11.45%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.09%E -6.55%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.60%E -4.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 21:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.84%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -15.61%E -4.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.43%E -8.29%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.10%EV -12.43%E -8.29%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.52%EV -24.15%E -5.89%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.38%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-23 22:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.82%5.1%2026-08-23 21:35
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 56.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%16.3%2026-08-23 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 19:55
Arbitragem (402 combinações) +3.22%Betsson 1.82 (56.7%) / Coolbet 5.50 (18.8%) / 1xBet 4.21 (24.5%)Mostrar as 402 combinações
Basaksehir (Local)Kasimpasa SK (Visitante)EmpateMargem
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.49%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.49%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.4%)+2.44%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.4%)+2.44%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.31%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.31%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.25%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.25%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.12%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.12%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.06%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.06%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.2%)+2.00%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.2%)+2.00%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+1.94%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+1.94%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.5%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.91%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.5%)betfred_uk🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.91%

A mostrar 50 de 402 combinações