Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

2026-08-30 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Basaksehir (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.05%1.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.21%
Преимущество -2.55%
Kelly -6.48%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.59%58.02%58.09%59.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.521.591.591.6565.79%63.04%62.89%60.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Kasimpasa SK (Гости)

Прогноз 18.57%5.39справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.12%
Преимущество +0.386%
Kelly +0.471%
Рост +0.010%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.24%18.56%18.46%20.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.105.025.005.5024.39%19.92%20.00%18.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 23.38%4.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.58%
Преимущество -0.375%
Kelly -0.491%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.21

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.78%23.42%23.44%24.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.553.934.004.2128.17%25.44%25.00%23.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Basaksehir (Хозяева): 58.05%; Kasimpasa SK (Гости): 18.57%; Ничья: 23.38%. Для исхода «Kasimpasa SK (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.39. 10 букмекеров предлагают коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 5.50, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +2.12%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -7.69%E -4.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +2.12%E +0.386%K +0.471%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:34
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:34
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:30
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.264%E +0.049%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 13:34
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.71%EV -4.21%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -1.59%E -0.301%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV -1.58%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-24 23:24
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.37%E -3.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -2.52%E -0.480%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 06:48
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.11%E -4.45%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.52%E -0.480%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 06:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.76%EV -5.95%E -3.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -3.45%E -0.663%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -2.98%E -0.718%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.76%EV -5.95%E -3.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -3.45%E -0.663%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -2.98%E -0.718%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 14:04
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.69%E -4.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -3.45%E -0.663%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 06:49
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -5.95%E -3.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.33%EV -4.01%E -0.775%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.17%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -7.69%E -4.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -5.31%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 23:18
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.42%EV -10.02%E -6.46%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -5.31%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 13:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.42%EV -10.02%E -6.46%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -5.31%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -5.31%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-24 13:30
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.58%EV -6.53%E -4.06%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.28%EV -5.86%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -10.23%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.58%EV -6.53%E -4.06%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.28%EV -5.86%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -10.23%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 14:19
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.95%E -3.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.95%E -3.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.11%E -4.45%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.53%E -4.06%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 00:04
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.53%E -4.06%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.53%E -4.06%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 07:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.45%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 06:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 06:48
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.50%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.50%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -7.16%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 13:30
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.01%EV -7.69%E -4.84%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -8.09%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 06:20
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.11%E -4.45%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.86%EV -8.28%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.90%EV -4.85%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 12:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.72%EV -5.37%E -3.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -10.88%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.99%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 13:14
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.53%E -4.06%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.88%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.53%E -4.06%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.88%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.53%E -4.06%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.88%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -5.95%E -3.67%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -11.81%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 13:14
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.11%E -4.45%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -11.81%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 06:48
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -11.81%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 04:54
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -11.81%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 23:14
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.11%E -4.45%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.59%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 06:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -8.85%E -5.64%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -14.59%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.89%EV -12.80%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-25 00:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.50%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -16.45%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.17%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-24 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -16.45%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-24 06:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.51%EV -8.27%E -5.24%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -18.30%E -4.16%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -9.99%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 55.59%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.61%EV -23.87%E -5.82%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.80%EV -17.01%E -4.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%18.3%2026-08-24 13:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.82%5.1%2026-08-25 00:04
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 55.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%16.8%2026-08-24 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 51.55%2.34I 42.74%NM 24.01%2.30I 43.48%NM 24.43%78.0%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 51.55%2.34I 42.74%NM 24.01%2.30I 43.48%NM 24.43%78.0%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 52.62%2.34I 42.74%NM 23.38%2.28I 43.86%NM 24.00%82.7%2026-08-24 15:49