StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

2026-08-30 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Direkter Vergleich

24 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Basaksehir (Heim)

Prognose 58.38%1.71faire Quote
EV +6.25%
Vorteil +3.44%
Kelly +7.62%
Wachstum +0.477%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.07%57.91%58.43%59.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.601.591.8266.67%62.66%62.89%54.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.50%5.41faire Quote
EV +1.74%
Vorteil +0.317%
Kelly +0.388%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.24%18.81%18.45%24.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.854.845.005.5025.97%20.64%20.00%18.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.12%4.33faire Quote
EV -2.66%
Vorteil -0.632%
Kelly -0.829%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.65%23.28%23.13%24.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.933.984.2127.78%25.47%25.16%23.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Basaksehir (Heim): 58.38%; Kasimpasa SK (Auswärts): 18.50%; Unentschieden: 23.12%. Für Basaksehir (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.71. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.82 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +6.25%.

Wettanbieterquoten (24 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +6.25%E +3.44%K +7.62%G +0.477%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -28.78%E -7.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +6.25%E +3.44%K +7.62%G +0.477%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -28.78%E -7.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.71%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -1.96%E -0.369%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.33%EV -4.36%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.17%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 22:20
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 22:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.35%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -7.18%E -4.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -7.18%E -4.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -5.65%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.88%E -0.549%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.80%E -0.732%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 21:24
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:24
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.38%EV -11.45%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.09%E -6.55%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.60%E -4.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 21:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.84%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -15.61%E -4.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.43%E -8.29%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.10%EV -12.43%E -8.29%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.52%EV -24.15%E -5.89%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.38%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-23 22:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.82%5.1%2026-08-23 21:35
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 56.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%16.3%2026-08-23 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 19:55
Arbitrage (402 Kombinationen) +3.22%Betsson 1.82 (56.7%) / Coolbet 5.50 (18.8%) / 1xBet 4.21 (24.5%)Alle 402 Kombinationen anzeigen
Basaksehir (Heim)Kasimpasa SK (Auswärts)UnentschiedenMarge
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.49%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.49%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.4%)+2.44%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.4%)+2.44%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.31%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.31%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.25%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.25%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.12%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.12%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.06%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.06%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.2%)+2.00%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.2%)+2.00%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+1.94%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+1.94%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.5%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.91%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.5%)betfred_uk🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.91%

50 von 402 Kombinationen werden angezeigt