StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

2026-08-30 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Matchresultat

24 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Basaksehir (Hemma)

Prognos 58.38%1.71rättvist odds
EV +6.25%
Fördel +3.44%
Kelly +7.62%
Tillväxt +0.477%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.07%57.91%58.43%59.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.601.591.8266.67%62.66%62.89%54.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Borta)

Prognos 18.50%5.41rättvist odds
EV +1.74%
Fördel +0.317%
Kelly +0.388%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.24%18.81%18.45%24.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.854.845.005.5025.97%20.64%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.12%4.33rättvist odds
EV -2.66%
Fördel -0.632%
Kelly -0.829%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.65%23.28%23.13%24.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.933.984.2127.78%25.47%25.16%23.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Basaksehir (Hemma): 58.38%; Kasimpasa SK (Borta): 18.50%; Oavgjort: 23.12%. För Basaksehir (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.71. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.82, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +6.25%.

Spelbolagsodds (24 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +6.25%E +3.44%K +7.62%G +0.477%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -28.78%E -7.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV +6.25%E +3.44%K +7.62%G +0.477%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -28.78%E -7.47%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 18:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.71%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -1.96%E -0.369%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV -2.66%E -0.632%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -5.42%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.33%EV -4.36%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.17%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 22:20
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 22:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.35%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -7.18%E -4.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -7.18%E -4.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -5.65%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.88%E -0.549%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.80%E -0.732%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 21:24
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 21:24
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.51%E -6.14%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.38%EV -11.45%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.09%E -6.55%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.60%E -4.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 21:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.84%EV -10.68%E -6.98%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -15.61%E -4.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-23 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.43%E -8.29%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-23 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.10%EV -12.43%E -8.29%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.52%EV -24.15%E -5.89%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.38%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-23 22:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.82%5.1%2026-08-23 21:35
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 56.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%16.3%2026-08-23 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-23 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 19:55
Arbitrage (402 kombinationer) +3.22%Betsson 1.82 (56.7%) / Coolbet 5.50 (18.8%) / 1xBet 4.21 (24.5%)Visa alla 402 kombinationer
Basaksehir (Hemma)Kasimpasa SK (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.5%)+3.22%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.7%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.6%)+3.16%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)SportsBet🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (25.0%)+2.55%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.49%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.49%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Pinnacle🎯 4.09 (25.1%)+2.48%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.4%)+2.44%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.3%)1xBet🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.4%)+2.44%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.31%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.31%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.25%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)SportsBet🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.25%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.2%)Fanatics🎯 5.50 (18.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.05 (25.2%)+2.23%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.12%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.3%)+2.12%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.06%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.1%)FanDuel🎯 5.20 (19.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+2.06%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.2%)+2.00%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)1xBet🎯 4.21 (24.2%)+2.00%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+1.94%
NordicBet🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.17 (19.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.3%)+1.94%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.5%)Unibet (UK)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.91%
Betsson🎯 1.82 (56.0%)Coolbet🎯 5.50 (18.5%)betfred_uk🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.91%

Visar 50 av 402 kombinationer