Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Basaksehir (Local): 58.17%; Kasimpasa SK (Visitante): 17.88%; Empate: 23.95%. Para Kasimpasa SK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.59. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.89%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.84%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.05%EV +1.89%E +0.332%K +0.402%G +0.008% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -7.31%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.39%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.58%EV -2.28%E -0.558%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.74%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +0.103%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -12.74%E -8.49%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.50%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.66%EV -3.47%E -0.643%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.17%E -4.62%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -11.00%E -7.19%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.19%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -9.25%E -5.93%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -17.77%E -3.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.35% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |