默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 18:29 UTC

最终结果: Basaksehir 1–1 Kasimpasa SK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Basaksehir (主队)

预测 58.17%1.72公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -1.35%
Kelly -3.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
56.74%58.20%58.27%60.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.67%62.50%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kasimpasa SK (客队)

预测 17.88%5.59公平赔率
EV +1.89%
优势 +0.332%
Kelly +0.402%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 5.70

博彩公司预测分布
16.55%17.84%17.79%19.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.185.225.7021.74%19.32%19.14%17.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.95%4.18公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -0.558%
Kelly -0.740%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.08

博彩公司预测分布
22.76%23.96%23.94%25.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.873.904.0828.57%25.82%25.64%24.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Basaksehir (主队):58.17%;Kasimpasa SK (客队):17.88%;平局:23.95%。 对于“Kasimpasa SK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.59。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.70,对应+1.89%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.84%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.05%EV +1.89%E +0.332%K +0.402%G +0.008%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -7.31%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.39%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.58%EV -2.28%E -0.558%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.74%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +0.103%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -12.74%E -8.49%K -25.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 18:25
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.50%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.66%EV -3.47%E -0.643%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 17:50
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.17%E -4.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -11.00%E -7.19%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.19%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -9.25%E -5.93%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -17.77%E -3.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 18:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-30 18:25
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.35%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-08-30 18:20