Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

Inizio: 2026-08-30 18:29 UTC

Finale: Basaksehir 1–1 Kasimpasa SK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Basaksehir (Casa)

Previsione 58.17%1.72quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -3.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.74%58.20%58.27%60.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.67%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.88%5.59quota equa
EV +1.89%
Vantaggio +0.332%
Kelly +0.402%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.55%17.84%17.79%19.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.185.225.7021.74%19.32%19.14%17.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.95%4.18quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -0.558%
Kelly -0.740%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.76%23.96%23.94%25.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.873.904.0828.57%25.82%25.64%24.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Basaksehir (Casa): 58.17%; Kasimpasa SK (Trasferta): 17.88%; Pareggio: 23.95%. Per Kasimpasa SK (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.59. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.89%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.84%EV -2.27%E -1.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.05%EV +1.89%E +0.332%K +0.402%G +0.008%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -7.31%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.39%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.58%EV -2.28%E -0.558%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.74%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +0.103%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.09%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -3.48%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -12.74%E -8.49%K -25.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 18:25
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.50%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.66%EV -3.47%E -0.643%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -4.60%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.12%EV -8.66%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -11.62%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 17:50
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.67%E -5.52%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.17%E -4.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -11.00%E -7.19%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -11.58%E -7.62%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.09%E -5.12%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.39%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.19%EV -9.83%E -6.34%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -9.25%E -5.93%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -17.77%E -3.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-30 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-30 18:25
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.35%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-08-30 18:20