Language:English
NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior
Head to Head
NEC Nijmegen (Local)
Prediction 65.46%1.53fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -8.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.52%65.75%65.36%67.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.29%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Excelsior (Visit)
Prediction 15.81%6.33fair odd
EV +6.71%
Edge +0.994%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.94%15.58%15.84%17.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.925.926.7520.00%16.88%16.89%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.73%5.34fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%18.67%18.80%19.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.914.905.2522.22%20.35%20.41%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: NEC Nijmegen (Local): 65.46%; Excelsior (Visit): 15.81%; Draw: 18.73%. For Excelsior (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.33. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.75, producing a positive expected value of +6.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -9.66%E -7.00%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.62%E -0.504%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.24%EV -3.77%E -2.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.54%EV -2.46%E -0.398%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.22%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -9.18%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -13.86%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.25%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.98%EV -6.41%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.77%EV -5.62%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 00:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -8.31%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.23%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.47%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.05%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.22%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.18%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -14.63%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.10%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -19.37%E -3.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.95%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.66% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.46% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
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