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NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior
Direkter Vergleich
NEC Nijmegen (Heim)
Prognose 65.46%1.53faire Quote
EV -3.77%
Vorteil -2.56%
Kelly -8.02%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.47
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
63.52%65.75%65.36%67.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.29%71.43%68.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Excelsior (Auswärts)
Prognose 15.81%6.33faire Quote
EV +6.71%
Vorteil +0.994%
Kelly +1.17%
Wachstum +0.078%
bei einer Höchstquote von 6.75
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.94%15.58%15.84%17.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.925.926.7520.00%16.88%16.89%14.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 18.73%5.34faire Quote
EV -1.69%
Vorteil -0.321%
Kelly -0.397%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.25
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.82%18.67%18.80%19.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.504.914.905.2522.22%20.35%20.41%19.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: NEC Nijmegen (Heim): 65.46%; Excelsior (Auswärts): 15.81%; Unentschieden: 18.73%. Für Excelsior (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.33. 8 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 6.75 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +6.71%.
Wettanbieterquoten (29 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -9.66%E -7.00%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.62%E -0.504%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.24%EV -3.77%E -2.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.54%EV -2.46%E -0.398%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.22%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -9.18%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -13.86%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.25%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.98%EV -6.41%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.77%EV -5.62%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 00:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -8.31%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.23%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.47%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.05%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.22%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.18%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -14.63%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.10%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -19.37%E -3.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.95%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (5)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.66% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.46% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
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