預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

2026-08-22 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

獨贏

29 家博彩公司 (12 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

NEC Nijmegen (主隊)

預測 65.46%1.53公平賠率
EV -3.77%
優勢 -2.56%
Kelly -8.02%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.47

博彩公司預測分布
63.52%65.75%65.36%67.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.29%71.43%68.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Excelsior (客隊)

預測 15.81%6.33公平賠率
EV +6.71%
優勢 +0.994%
Kelly +1.17%
成長率 +0.078%

假設最高賠率為 6.75

博彩公司預測分布
13.94%15.58%15.84%17.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.005.925.926.7520.00%16.88%16.89%14.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 18.73%5.34公平賠率
EV -1.69%
優勢 -0.321%
Kelly -0.397%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.25

博彩公司預測分布
17.82%18.67%18.80%19.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.504.914.905.2522.22%20.35%20.41%19.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:NEC Nijmegen (主隊):65.46%;Excelsior (客隊):15.81%;和局:18.73%。 對於「Excelsior (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.33的公平十進位賠率。 有8家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為6.75,因此產生+6.71%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -9.66%E -7.00%K -25.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:43
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.62%E -0.504%K -0.625%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 19:43
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 19:45
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:49
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:49
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.24%EV -3.77%E -2.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.54%EV -2.46%E -0.398%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.22%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 00:35
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 19:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -9.18%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 00:34
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -13.86%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 19:45
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.25%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.98%EV -6.41%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.77%EV -5.62%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 00:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -8.31%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 19:24
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.23%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.47%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 19:22
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 20:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 20:54
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.05%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.22%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-15 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.18%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -14.63%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-15 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.10%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -19.37%E -3.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.95%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-15 19:29
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.66%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.46%8.0%2026-08-16 01:40
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%13.2%2026-08-15 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:45

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