语言:简体中文
NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior
胜负盘
NEC Nijmegen (主队)
预测 65.46%1.53公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -2.56%
Kelly -8.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.47
博彩公司预测分布
63.52%65.75%65.36%67.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.29%71.43%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
Excelsior (客队)
预测 15.81%6.33公平赔率
EV +6.71%
优势 +0.994%
Kelly +1.17%
增长率 +0.078%
假设最高赔率为 6.75
博彩公司预测分布
13.94%15.58%15.84%17.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.925.926.7520.00%16.88%16.89%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 18.73%5.34公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -0.321%
Kelly -0.397%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
17.82%18.67%18.80%19.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.914.905.2522.22%20.35%20.41%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：NEC Nijmegen (主队)：65.46%；Excelsior (客队)：15.81%；平局：18.73%。 对于“Excelsior (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.33。 有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为6.75，由此产生+6.71%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -9.66%E -7.00%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.62%E -0.504%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.24%EV -3.77%E -2.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.54%EV -2.46%E -0.398%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.22%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -9.18%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -13.86%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.25%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.98%EV -6.41%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.77%EV -5.62%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 00:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -8.31%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.23%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.47%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.05%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.22%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.18%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -14.63%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.10%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -19.37%E -3.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.95%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.66% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.46% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
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