StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

Matchstart: 2026-08-22 18:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

NEC Nijmegen (Hemma)

Prognos 64.13%1.56rättvist odds
EV -3.17%
Fördel -2.10%
Kelly -6.21%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.14%64.13%64.31%67.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.371.451.451.5172.99%69.02%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Excelsior (Borta)

Prognos 16.08%6.22rättvist odds
EV +9.33%
Fördel +1.37%
Kelly +1.61%
Tillväxt +0.150%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.71%16.01%15.82%17.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.105.705.606.8019.61%17.53%17.86%14.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.80%5.05rättvist odds
EV +0.958%
Fördel +0.188%
Kelly +0.234%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.85%19.86%19.87%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.304.674.755.1023.26%21.41%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: NEC Nijmegen (Hemma): 64.13%; Excelsior (Borta): 16.08%; Oavgjort: 19.80%. För Excelsior (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.22. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.33%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.07%EV -10.86%E -7.82%K -27.86%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV +9.33%E +1.37%K +1.61%G +0.150%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -3.99%E -0.823%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 06:18
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -4.45%E -2.99%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +2.90%E +0.453%K +0.537%G +0.016%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -13.89%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:13
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -4.45%E -2.99%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +2.90%E +0.453%K +0.537%G +0.016%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -13.89%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:14
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -5.73%E -3.90%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +0.486%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -0.318%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -3.00%E -0.613%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 14:14
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.33%EV -4.45%E -2.99%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.66%EV -1.60%E -0.262%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.01%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 04:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV +0.958%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002%3.8%2026-08-17 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV +0.958%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002%3.8%2026-08-17 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV +0.958%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002%3.8%2026-08-17 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.02%E -0.204%K -0.256%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 22:04
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 17:48
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 17:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 07:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 18:14
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 07:52
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -12.15%E -8.87%K -32.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.36%EV -6.75%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.59%EV -9.93%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 18:04
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.53%EV -5.73%E -3.90%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -1.02%E -0.204%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 08:50
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 03:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 03:50
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 18:24
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.62%EV -4.45%E -2.99%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.63%EV -8.36%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 04:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -3.81%E -2.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.55%EV -3.60%E -0.738%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -3.81%E -2.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.55%EV -3.60%E -0.738%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:39
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -3.81%E -2.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.55%EV -3.60%E -0.738%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 08:50
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 08:50
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -3.81%E -2.54%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:00
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 08:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -13.89%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 15:45
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 21:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-20 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-20 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-20 23:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-20 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 07:54
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-20 04:29
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 07:54
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.69%EV -3.17%E -2.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.47%EV -12.86%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.85%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 02:00
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.36%EV -3.17%E -2.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -13.98%E -2.61%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -6.96%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 21:41
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.26%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -14.79%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 08:50
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.26%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -14.79%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.26%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -14.79%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.32%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.59%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.32%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.59%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 08:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.32%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.59%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.62%EV -9.58%E -6.80%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.59%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.29%EV -7.95%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 09:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -16.40%E -3.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.90%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-20 03:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.16%EV -10.86%E -7.82%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -16.40%E -3.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.90%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 14:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.00%EV -12.15%E -8.87%K -32.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -18.00%E -3.53%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -14.88%E -3.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-16 14:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%1.1%2026-08-22 14:50
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 63.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%4.9%2026-08-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 30.44%1.37I 72.99%NM 34.00%1.31I 76.34%NM 35.56%114.7%2026-08-21 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 30.37%1.36I 73.53%NM 34.16%1.31I 76.34%NM 35.47%115.2%2026-08-21 09:58
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 30.37%1.36I 73.53%NM 34.16%1.31I 76.34%NM 35.47%115.2%2026-08-21 09:44