Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.80
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: NEC Nijmegen (Casa): 64.13%; Excelsior (Trasferta): 16.08%; Pareggio: 19.80%. Per Excelsior (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.22. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.33%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.07%EV -10.86%E -7.82%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV +9.33%E +1.37%K +1.61%G +0.150% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -3.99%E -0.823%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 06:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -4.45%E -2.99%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +2.90%E +0.453%K +0.537%G +0.016% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -13.89%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 04:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -4.45%E -2.99%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +2.90%E +0.453%K +0.537%G +0.016% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -13.89%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 04:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -5.73%E -3.90%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +0.486%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -0.318%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -3.00%E -0.613%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.33%EV -4.45%E -2.99%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.66%EV -1.60%E -0.262%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.01%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 04:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV +0.958%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV +0.958%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV +0.958%E +0.188%K +0.234%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.02%E -0.204%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 17:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 17:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 07:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.53%E -0.589%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 07:52 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -12.15%E -8.87%K -32.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.36%EV -6.75%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.59%EV -9.93%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.53%EV -5.73%E -3.90%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -1.02%E -0.204%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 03:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 03:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.55%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 18:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.62%EV -4.45%E -2.99%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.63%EV -8.36%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 04:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -3.81%E -2.54%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.55%EV -3.60%E -0.738%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -3.81%E -2.54%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.55%EV -3.60%E -0.738%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46%EV -3.81%E -2.54%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.55%EV -3.60%E -0.738%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.06%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.96%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -3.81%E -2.54%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.98%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.02%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.97%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -5.09%E -3.44%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -13.89%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-20 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-20 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-20 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-20 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 07:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 04:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -11.57%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.29%E -3.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 07:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.69%EV -3.17%E -2.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.47%EV -12.86%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.85%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-20 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.36%EV -3.17%E -2.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -13.98%E -2.61%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -6.96%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 21:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.26%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -14.79%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.26%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -14.79%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.26%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -14.79%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.32%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.59%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.32%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.59%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.32%EV -8.94%E -6.30%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.59%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.94%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.62%EV -9.58%E -6.80%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.59%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.29%EV -7.95%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 09:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -16.40%E -3.15%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.90%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-20 03:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.16%EV -10.86%E -7.82%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -16.40%E -3.15%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.90%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.00%EV -12.15%E -8.87%K -32.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -18.00%E -3.53%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -14.88%E -3.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-16 14:09 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.12% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 30.44% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 34.00% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 35.56% | 114.7% | 2026-08-21 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 30.37% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 34.16% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 35.47% | 115.2% | 2026-08-21 09:58 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 30.37% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 34.16% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 35.47% | 115.2% | 2026-08-21 09:44 |