Idioma:Español
NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior
Resultado del partido
NEC Nijmegen (Local)
Predicción 65.46%1.53momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -2.56%
Kelly -8.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.52%65.75%65.36%67.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.29%71.43%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Excelsior (Visitante)
Predicción 15.81%6.33momio equitativo
EV +6.71%
Ventaja +0.994%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.94%15.58%15.84%17.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.925.926.7520.00%16.88%16.89%14.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.73%5.34momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.397%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.82%18.67%18.80%19.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.914.905.2522.22%20.35%20.41%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: NEC Nijmegen (Local): 65.46%; Excelsior (Visitante): 15.81%; Empate: 18.73%. Para Excelsior (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.33. 8 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.75, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.71%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -9.66%E -7.00%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.62%E -0.504%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.24%EV -3.77%E -2.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.54%EV -2.46%E -0.398%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.22%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -9.18%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -13.86%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.25%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.98%EV -6.41%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.77%EV -5.62%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 00:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -8.31%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.23%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.47%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.05%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.22%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.18%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -14.63%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.10%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -19.37%E -3.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.95%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.66% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.46% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
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