Langue:Français
NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior
Résultat du match
NEC Nijmegen (Local)
Prévision 65.46%1.53cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -2.56%
Kelly -8.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.52%65.75%65.36%67.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.29%71.43%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Excelsior (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.81%6.33cote équitable
EV +6.71%
Avantage +0.994%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.078%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.94%15.58%15.84%17.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.925.926.7520.00%16.88%16.89%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 18.73%5.34cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.321%
Kelly -0.397%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.82%18.67%18.80%19.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.914.905.2522.22%20.35%20.41%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : NEC Nijmegen (Local) : 65.46% ; Excelsior (Visiteur) : 15.81% ; Match nul : 18.73%. Pour Excelsior (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.33. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.75, pour une espérance positive de +6.71%.
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +6.71%E +0.994%K +1.17%G +0.078% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -9.66%E -7.00%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.62%E -0.504%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +2.76%E +0.425%K +0.502%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +1.18%E +0.184%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.24%EV -3.77%E -2.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.54%EV -2.46%E -0.398%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.22%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -9.18%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.04%E -4.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -13.86%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -5.15%E -0.858%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.25%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.98%EV -6.41%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.77%EV -5.62%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 00:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -8.31%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.08%E -3.50%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.73%E -3.98%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -6.39%E -4.47%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.10%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -8.24%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.23%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.47%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 19:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.35%E -5.96%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.05%EV -12.93%E -9.72%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -13.05%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.22%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.18%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -14.63%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.10%EV -10.31%E -7.53%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -19.37%E -3.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -10.97%E -8.06%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -20.95%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-15 19:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.66% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.46% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-15 19:45 |
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