Language:English
Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Prediction 35.41%2.82fair odd
EV +0.914%
Edge +0.321%
Kelly +0.494%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%35.42%35.37%36.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.07%38.17%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cerezo Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 35.09%2.85fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.753%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.23%35.18%35.12%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.602.7940.82%38.50%38.46%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.50%3.39fair odd
EV +0.306%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.127%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%29.40%29.51%30.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.133.153.4033.33%31.92%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 35.41%; Cerezo Osaka (Visit): 35.09%; Draw: 29.50%. For Avispa Fukuoka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.914%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV +0.914%E +0.321%K +0.494%G +0.005% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.55%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.10%E -0.753%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.64%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.96%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.306%E +0.090%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.03%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.66%EV -9.43%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |