Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka

Início: 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Final: Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Cerezo Osaka

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avispa Fukuoka (Local)

Previsão 35.41%2.82odd justa
EV +0.914%
Vantagem +0.321%
Kelly +0.494%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.33%35.42%35.37%36.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.07%38.17%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cerezo Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 35.09%2.85odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -0.753%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.23%35.18%35.12%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.602.602.7940.82%38.50%38.46%35.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.50%3.39odd justa
EV +0.306%
Vantagem +0.090%
Kelly +0.127%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.04%29.40%29.51%30.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.133.153.4033.33%31.92%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 35.41%; Cerezo Osaka (Visitante): 35.09%; Empate: 29.50%. Para Avispa Fukuoka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.82. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.914%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV +0.914%E +0.321%K +0.494%G +0.005%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.55%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:10
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.10%E -0.753%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.64%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 10:04
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:43
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:48
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.96%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 08:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 08:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.306%E +0.090%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:10
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:44
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:40
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.03%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:44
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.66%EV -9.43%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:49
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:14
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 08:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-08-15 09:30