Idioma:Español
Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Predicción 35.41%2.82momio equitativo
EV +0.914%
Ventaja +0.321%
Kelly +0.494%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%35.42%35.37%36.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.07%38.17%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cerezo Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 35.09%2.85momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.753%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.23%35.18%35.12%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.602.602.7940.82%38.50%38.46%35.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.50%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.306%
Ventaja +0.090%
Kelly +0.127%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%29.40%29.51%30.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.133.153.4033.33%31.92%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 35.41%; Cerezo Osaka (Visitante): 35.09%; Empate: 29.50%. Para Avispa Fukuoka (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.82. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.914%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV +0.914%E +0.321%K +0.494%G +0.005% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.55%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.10%E -0.753%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.64%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.96%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.306%E +0.090%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.03%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.66%EV -9.43%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |