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Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Avispa Fukuoka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 35.41%2.82справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.914%
Преимущество +0.321%
Kelly +0.494%
Рост +0.005%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.33%35.42%35.37%36.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.07%38.17%35.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cerezo Osaka (Гости)
Прогноз 35.09%2.85справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.10%
Преимущество -0.753%
Kelly -1.17%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.79
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.23%35.18%35.12%36.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.452.602.602.7940.82%38.50%38.46%35.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.50%3.39справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.306%
Преимущество +0.090%
Kelly +0.127%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.04%29.40%29.51%30.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.133.153.4033.33%31.92%31.75%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Avispa Fukuoka (Хозяева): 35.41%; Cerezo Osaka (Гости): 35.09%; Ничья: 29.50%. Для исхода «Avispa Fukuoka (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.82. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.85, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.914%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV +0.914%E +0.321%K +0.494%G +0.005% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.55%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.10%E -0.753%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.64%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.96%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.306%E +0.090%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.03%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.66%EV -9.43%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |