StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Cerezo Osaka

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Avispa Fukuoka (Hemma)

Prognos 35.41%2.82rättvist odds
EV +0.914%
Fördel +0.321%
Kelly +0.494%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.33%35.42%35.37%36.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.07%38.17%35.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cerezo Osaka (Borta)

Prognos 35.09%2.85rättvist odds
EV -2.10%
Fördel -0.753%
Kelly -1.17%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.23%35.18%35.12%36.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.602.602.7940.82%38.50%38.46%35.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.50%3.39rättvist odds
EV +0.306%
Fördel +0.090%
Kelly +0.127%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.04%29.40%29.51%30.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.133.153.4033.33%31.92%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Avispa Fukuoka (Hemma): 35.41%; Cerezo Osaka (Borta): 35.09%; Oavgjort: 29.50%. För Avispa Fukuoka (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.82. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.85, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.914%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV +0.914%E +0.321%K +0.494%G +0.005%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.55%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:10
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.10%E -0.753%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.64%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 10:04
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:43
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:48
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.96%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 08:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 08:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.306%E +0.090%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:10
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:44
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:40
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.03%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:44
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.66%EV -9.43%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:49
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:14
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 08:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-08-15 09:30