Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka

Początek: 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Cerezo Osaka

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Avispa Fukuoka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 35.41%2.82kurs godziwy
EV +0.914%
Przewaga +0.321%
Kelly +0.494%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.33%35.42%35.37%36.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.07%38.17%35.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Cerezo Osaka (Goście)

Prognoza 35.09%2.85kurs godziwy
EV -2.10%
Przewaga -0.753%
Kelly -1.17%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.23%35.18%35.12%36.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.452.602.602.7940.82%38.50%38.46%35.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.50%3.39kurs godziwy
EV +0.306%
Przewaga +0.090%
Kelly +0.127%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.04%29.40%29.51%30.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.133.153.4033.33%31.92%31.75%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Avispa Fukuoka (Gospodarze): 35.41%; Cerezo Osaka (Goście): 35.09%; Remis: 29.50%. Dla wyniku Avispa Fukuoka (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.82. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.85, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.914%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV +0.914%E +0.321%K +0.494%G +0.005%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.55%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:10
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.10%E -0.753%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.64%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 10:04
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:43
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:48
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.96%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 08:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 08:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.306%E +0.090%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:10
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:44
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:40
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.03%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:44
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.66%EV -9.43%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:49
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:14
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 08:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-08-15 09:30