StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Endstand: Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Cerezo Osaka

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Avispa Fukuoka (Heim)

Prognose 35.41%2.82faire Quote
EV +0.914%
Vorteil +0.321%
Kelly +0.494%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.33%35.42%35.37%36.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.07%38.17%35.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cerezo Osaka (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.09%2.85faire Quote
EV -2.10%
Vorteil -0.753%
Kelly -1.17%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.23%35.18%35.12%36.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.452.602.602.7940.82%38.50%38.46%35.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.50%3.39faire Quote
EV +0.306%
Vorteil +0.090%
Kelly +0.127%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.04%29.40%29.51%30.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.133.153.4033.33%31.92%31.75%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Avispa Fukuoka (Heim): 35.41%; Cerezo Osaka (Auswärts): 35.09%; Unentschieden: 29.50%. Für Avispa Fukuoka (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.82. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.85 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.914%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV +0.914%E +0.321%K +0.494%G +0.005%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.55%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:10
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.10%E -0.753%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.64%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 10:04
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:43
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:48
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:19
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.96%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 08:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 08:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.306%E +0.090%K +0.127%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:10
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:44
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:40
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-13 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.03%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:44
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.66%EV -9.43%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:49
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 09:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 09:14
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 08:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-08-15 09:50
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-08-15 09:30