Langue:Français
Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Prévision 35.41%2.82cote équitable
EV +0.914%
Avantage +0.321%
Kelly +0.494%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%35.42%35.37%36.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.632.622.8540.00%38.07%38.17%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cerezo Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.09%2.85cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.753%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.23%35.18%35.12%36.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.602.602.7940.82%38.50%38.46%35.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.50%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.306%
Avantage +0.090%
Kelly +0.127%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.04%29.40%29.51%30.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.133.153.4033.33%31.92%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Avispa Fukuoka (Local) : 35.41% ; Cerezo Osaka (Visiteur) : 35.09% ; Match nul : 29.50%. Pour Avispa Fukuoka (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.82. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.914%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV +0.914%E +0.321%K +0.494%G +0.005% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.55%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.56%E -0.563%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.19%EV -4.56%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.98%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -2.10%E -0.753%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.64%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -6.88%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-13 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -5.96%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.306%E +0.090%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.26%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.03%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.52%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.66%EV -9.43%E -3.07%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -7.71%E -2.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.01%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.06%E -3.08%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |