默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Avispa Fukuoka v Cerezo Osaka

2026-08-15 10:00 UTC — J League

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Avispa Fukuoka (主队)

预测 35.21%2.84公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -1.42%
Kelly -2.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.73

博彩公司预测分布
34.42%35.29%35.04%36.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.592.602.7340.82%38.61%38.46%36.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cerezo Osaka (客队)

预测 35.88%2.79公平赔率
EV -3.85%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -2.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.68

博彩公司预测分布
35.15%36.00%35.72%37.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.542.522.6842.02%39.38%39.60%37.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.91%3.46公平赔率
EV +1.19%
优势 +0.340%
Kelly +0.477%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.98%28.71%29.25%29.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.203.173.5033.90%31.29%31.50%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Avispa Fukuoka (主队):35.21%;Cerezo Osaka (客队):35.88%;平局:28.91%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.46。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.50,由此产生+1.19%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -6.72%E -2.59%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +1.19%E +0.340%K +0.477%G +0.006%4.8%2026-08-08 11:24
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -10.31%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -0.254%E -0.074%K -0.104%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 11:27
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.31%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.70%E -0.500%K -0.708%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 11:29
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.21%E -4.00%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.52%E -3.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.59%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.97%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.31%E -4.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.59%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 12:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.97%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -12.10%E -4.94%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -4.59%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:25
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.74%EV -4.21%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.18%EV -5.46%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.92%EV -3.87%E -1.42%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.57%EV -3.85%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.51%EV -6.61%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -6.34%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -6.36%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.48%E -2.34%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -5.29%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.93%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -5.29%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.93%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 12:20
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.74%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.00%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.37%E -3.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 11:39
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.74%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.00%E -2.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.37%E -3.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 11:39
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -13.73%E -5.60%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.51%EV -14.61%E -6.14%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -10.37%E -3.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-08 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -13.73%E -5.60%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -12.10%E -4.94%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -11.82%E -3.88%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-08 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -13.73%E -5.60%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.90%E -5.79%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -13.26%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-08 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 34.70%EV -10.91%E -4.31%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.84%EV -12.10%E -4.94%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.46%EV -13.84%E -4.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.21%E -4.00%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.10%E -4.94%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -14.71%E -4.99%K -7.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 11:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 35.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.17%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%8.1%2026-08-08 13:25