Language:English
Watford v Crawley Town
Head to Head
Watford (Local)
Prediction 74.20%1.35fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -14.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.70%74.11%73.99%75.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.60%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 9.47%10.56fair odd
EV +4.13%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.33%9.48%9.51%11.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.5010.0310.0011.0013.33%9.97%10.00%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.33%6.12fair odd
EV +6.17%
Edge +0.950%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.069%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.60%16.41%16.50%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.855.665.786.5020.62%17.67%17.32%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Watford (Local): 74.20%; Crawley Town (Visit): 9.47%; Draw: 16.33%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.12. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +6.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +6.17%E +0.950%K +1.12%G +0.069% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:27 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.70%EV -8.65%E -0.897%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -7.23%E -0.738%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.73I 11.45%NM 10.67%EV -17.36%E -1.99%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.53%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:13 |
| betano_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.96%E -9.13%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -24.27%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.47%EV -11.70%E -9.83%K -61.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -29.00%E -3.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -19.54%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -20.78%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17% | 99.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17% | 99.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 29.24% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.86% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 35.90% | 175.8% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |