Język:Polski
Watford v Crawley Town
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Watford (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 73.01%1.37kurs godziwy
EV -4.35%
Przewaga -3.32%
Kelly -14.04%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.31
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.53%73.01%72.97%75.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.271.281.3183.33%78.96%78.13%76.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Crawley Town (Goście)
Prognoza 9.98%10.02kurs godziwy
EV +9.79%
Przewaga +0.890%
Kelly +0.979%
Wzrost +0.096%
przy maksymalnym kursie 11.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.33%10.02%9.99%11.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.759.269.4011.0012.90%10.80%10.64%9.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 17.00%5.88kurs godziwy
EV +4.24%
Przewaga +0.691%
Kelly +0.826%
Wzrost +0.035%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.13
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.46%16.97%17.04%18.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.855.365.306.1320.62%18.65%18.87%16.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Watford (Gospodarze): 73.01%; Crawley Town (Goście): 9.98%; Remis: 17.00%. Dla wyniku Crawley Town (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 10.02. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 11.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +9.79%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +9.79%E +0.890%K +0.979%G +0.096% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 08:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.63%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.23%EV +2.61%E +0.253%K +0.281%G +0.007% | 6.13I 16.31%NM 15.48%EV +4.24%E +0.691%K +0.826%G +0.035% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -2.19%E -0.223%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -15.83%E -3.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -9.46%E -7.63%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -7.18%E -0.772%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.92%E -0.695%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.87%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -10.07%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.76%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.07%E -0.539%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.77%EV -17.53%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -11.65%E -9.63%K -55.49%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.12%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.71%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.92%E -8.95%K -49.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.91%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -20.15%E -2.52%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -22.65%E -2.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.61% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |