Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Watford v Crawley Town

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Watford (Casa)

Previsione 74.20%1.35quota equa
EV -4.28%
Vantaggio -3.32%
Kelly -14.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.70%74.11%73.99%75.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.60%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Crawley Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.47%10.56quota equa
EV +4.13%
Vantaggio +0.375%
Kelly +0.413%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.33%9.48%9.51%11.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.5010.0310.0011.0013.33%9.97%10.00%9.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 16.33%6.12quota equa
EV +6.17%
Vantaggio +0.950%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescita +0.069%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.60%16.41%16.50%18.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.855.665.786.5020.62%17.67%17.32%15.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Watford (Casa): 74.20%; Crawley Town (Trasferta): 9.47%; Pareggio: 16.33%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.12. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 6.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +6.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +6.17%E +0.950%K +1.12%G +0.069%5.4%2026-08-04 20:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:19
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:19
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:20
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:27
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:35
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:30
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:35
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:40
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.70%EV -8.65%E -0.897%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:10
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.03%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -7.23%E -0.738%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 21:09
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.73I 11.45%NM 10.67%EV -17.36%E -1.99%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 21:10
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.53%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 20:20
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 20:14
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:13
betano_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:13
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 20:29
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.96%E -9.13%K -54.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -24.27%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-04 20:19
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.47%EV -11.70%E -9.83%K -61.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-04 21:09
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 20:19
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:59
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:55
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -29.00%E -3.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-04 20:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -19.54%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -20.78%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17%99.0%2026-08-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17%99.0%2026-08-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 29.24%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.90%175.8%2026-08-04 22:09