Langue:Français
Watford v Crawley Town
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Watford (Local)
Prévision 73.01%1.37cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -3.32%
Kelly -14.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.53%73.01%72.97%75.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.281.3183.33%78.96%78.13%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Crawley Town (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.98%10.02cote équitable
EV +9.79%
Avantage +0.890%
Kelly +0.979%
Croissance +0.096%
avec la cote maximale 11.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.33%10.02%9.99%11.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.759.269.4011.0012.90%10.80%10.64%9.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 17.00%5.88cote équitable
EV +4.24%
Avantage +0.691%
Kelly +0.826%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 6.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.46%16.97%17.04%18.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.855.365.306.1320.62%18.65%18.87%16.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Watford (Local) : 73.01% ; Crawley Town (Visiteur) : 9.98% ; Match nul : 17.00%. Pour Crawley Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.02. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.00, soit une espérance positive de +9.79%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +9.79%E +0.890%K +0.979%G +0.096% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 08:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.63%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.23%EV +2.61%E +0.253%K +0.281%G +0.007% | 6.13I 16.31%NM 15.48%EV +4.24%E +0.691%K +0.826%G +0.035% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -2.19%E -0.223%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -15.83%E -3.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -9.46%E -7.63%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -7.18%E -0.772%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.92%E -0.695%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.87%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -10.07%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.76%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.07%E -0.539%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.77%EV -17.53%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -11.65%E -9.63%K -55.49%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.12%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.71%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.92%E -8.95%K -49.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.91%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -20.15%E -2.52%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -22.65%E -2.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.61% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |