Langue:Français
Watford v Crawley Town
Résultat du match
Watford (Local)
Prévision 74.20%1.35cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -3.32%
Kelly -14.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.70%74.11%73.99%75.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.60%80.65%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Crawley Town (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.47%10.56cote équitable
EV +4.13%
Avantage +0.375%
Kelly +0.413%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 11.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.33%9.48%9.51%11.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.5010.0310.0011.0013.33%9.97%10.00%9.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 16.33%6.12cote équitable
EV +6.17%
Avantage +0.950%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.069%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.60%16.41%16.50%18.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.855.665.786.5020.62%17.67%17.32%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Watford (Local) : 74.20% ; Crawley Town (Visiteur) : 9.47% ; Match nul : 16.33%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.12. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.50, pour une espérance positive de +6.17%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +6.17%E +0.950%K +1.12%G +0.069% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:27 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.70%EV -8.65%E -0.897%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -7.23%E -0.738%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.73I 11.45%NM 10.67%EV -17.36%E -1.99%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.53%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:13 |
| betano_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.96%E -9.13%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -24.27%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.47%EV -11.70%E -9.83%K -61.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -29.00%E -3.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -19.54%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -20.78%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17% | 99.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17% | 99.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 29.24% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.86% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 35.90% | 175.8% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |