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Watford v Crawley Town
Победитель встречи
Watford (Хозяева)
Прогноз 74.20%1.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.28%
Преимущество -3.32%
Kelly -14.77%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
70.70%74.11%73.99%75.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.60%80.65%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Crawley Town (Гости)
Прогноз 9.47%10.56справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.13%
Преимущество +0.375%
Kelly +0.413%
Рост +0.017%
при максимальном коэффициенте 11.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
8.33%9.48%9.51%11.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.5010.0310.0011.0013.33%9.97%10.00%9.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 16.33%6.12справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.17%
Преимущество +0.950%
Kelly +1.12%
Рост +0.069%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.60%16.41%16.50%18.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.855.665.786.5020.62%17.67%17.32%15.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Watford (Хозяева): 74.20%; Crawley Town (Гости): 9.47%; Ничья: 16.33%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.12. 1 букмекер предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 6.50, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +6.17%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (42 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +6.17%E +0.950%K +1.12%G +0.069% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:27 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.70%EV -8.65%E -0.897%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -7.23%E -0.738%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.73I 11.45%NM 10.67%EV -17.36%E -1.99%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.53%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:13 |
| betano_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.96%E -9.13%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -24.27%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.47%EV -11.70%E -9.83%K -61.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -29.00%E -3.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -19.54%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -20.78%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (3)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17% | 99.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17% | 99.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 29.24% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.86% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 35.90% | 175.8% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |