StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Watford v Crawley Town

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Wedstrijduitslag

42 wedaanbieders (13 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Watford (Thuis)

Prognose 74.20%1.35margevrije odds
EV -4.28%
Voordeel -3.32%
Kelly -14.77%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.29

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
70.70%74.11%73.99%75.91%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.60%80.65%77.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Crawley Town (Uit)

Prognose 9.47%10.56margevrije odds
EV +4.13%
Voordeel +0.375%
Kelly +0.413%
Groei +0.017%

bij maximale odds 11.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
8.33%9.48%9.51%11.56%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
7.5010.0310.0011.0013.33%9.97%10.00%9.09%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 16.33%6.12margevrije odds
EV +6.17%
Voordeel +0.950%
Kelly +1.12%
Groei +0.069%

bij maximale odds 6.50

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
14.60%16.41%16.50%18.66%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.855.665.786.5020.62%17.67%17.32%15.38%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Watford (Thuis): 74.20%; Crawley Town (Uit): 9.47%; Gelijkspel: 16.33%. Voor Gelijkspel komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 6.12. 1 wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 6.50, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +6.17%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (42 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspel ▼MargeBijgewerkt
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +6.17%E +0.950%K +1.12%G +0.069%5.4%2026-08-04 20:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:19
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:19
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:20
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:27
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:35
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:30
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:35
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:40
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.70%EV -8.65%E -0.897%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:10
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.03%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -7.23%E -0.738%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 21:09
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.73I 11.45%NM 10.67%EV -17.36%E -1.99%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 21:10
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.53%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 20:20
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 20:14
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:13
betano_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:13
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 20:29
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.96%E -9.13%K -54.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -24.27%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-04 20:19
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.47%EV -11.70%E -9.83%K -61.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-04 21:09
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 20:19
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:59
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:55
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -29.00%E -3.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-04 20:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -19.54%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -20.78%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:15
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (3)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17%99.0%2026-08-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17%99.0%2026-08-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 29.24%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.90%175.8%2026-08-04 22:09