StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Watford v Crawley Town

Aanvang: 2026-08-08 14:02 UTC

Eindstand: Watford 1–0 Crawley Town

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

48 wedaanbieders (17 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Watford (Thuis)

Prognose 73.01%1.37margevrije odds
EV -4.35%
Voordeel -3.32%
Kelly -14.04%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.31

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
70.53%73.01%72.97%75.63%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.201.271.281.3183.33%78.96%78.13%76.34%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Crawley Town (Uit)

Prognose 9.98%10.02margevrije odds
EV +9.79%
Voordeel +0.890%
Kelly +0.979%
Groei +0.096%

bij maximale odds 11.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
8.33%10.02%9.99%11.56%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
7.759.269.4011.0012.90%10.80%10.64%9.09%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 17.00%5.88margevrije odds
EV +4.24%
Voordeel +0.691%
Kelly +0.826%
Groei +0.035%

bij maximale odds 6.13

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
15.46%16.97%17.04%18.77%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.855.365.306.1320.62%18.65%18.87%16.31%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Watford (Thuis): 73.01%; Crawley Town (Uit): 9.98%; Gelijkspel: 17.00%. Voor Crawley Town (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 10.02. 4 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 11.00, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +9.79%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (48 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +9.79%E +0.890%K +0.979%G +0.096%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:10
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.63%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008%7.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.23%EV +2.61%E +0.253%K +0.281%G +0.007%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.48%EV +4.24%E +0.691%K +0.826%G +0.035%5.4%2026-08-08 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:59
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 06:35
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -2.19%E -0.223%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -15.83%E -3.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:39
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 14:00
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -9.46%E -7.63%K -39.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008%7.8%2026-08-08 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -7.18%E -0.772%K -0.865%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.92%E -0.695%K -0.844%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:49
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.87%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -10.07%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.76%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 14:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008%7.8%2026-08-08 13:34
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.07%E -0.539%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.77%EV -17.53%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:45
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -11.65%E -9.63%K -55.49%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.12%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.71%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.92%E -8.95%K -49.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.91%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -20.15%E -2.52%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -22.65%E -2.92%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (4)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.61%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%0.4%2026-08-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-08 14:00
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-08-08 14:00