StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Watford v Crawley Town

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Watford (Hemma)

Prognos 74.20%1.35rättvist odds
EV -4.28%
Fördel -3.32%
Kelly -14.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
70.70%74.11%73.99%75.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.60%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Crawley Town (Borta)

Prognos 9.47%10.56rättvist odds
EV +4.13%
Fördel +0.375%
Kelly +0.413%
Tillväxt +0.017%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.33%9.48%9.51%11.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.5010.0310.0011.0013.33%9.97%10.00%9.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 16.33%6.12rättvist odds
EV +6.17%
Fördel +0.950%
Kelly +1.12%
Tillväxt +0.069%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.60%16.41%16.50%18.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.855.665.786.5020.62%17.67%17.32%15.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Watford (Hemma): 74.20%; Crawley Town (Borta): 9.47%; Oavgjort: 16.33%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.12. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 6.50, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +6.17%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +6.17%E +0.950%K +1.12%G +0.069%5.4%2026-08-04 20:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:20
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:20
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:19
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:19
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:20
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:27
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:35
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:39
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 23:40
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:30
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:35
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 23:40
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.70%EV -8.65%E -0.897%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:10
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.03%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -7.23%E -0.738%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 21:09
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.73I 11.45%NM 10.67%EV -17.36%E -1.99%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 21:10
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.53%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 20:20
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 20:14
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:13
betano_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:13
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 20:29
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.96%E -9.13%K -54.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -24.27%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-04 20:19
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.47%EV -11.70%E -9.83%K -61.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-04 21:09
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 20:19
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:59
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 20:55
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -29.00%E -3.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-04 20:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -19.54%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -20.78%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17%99.0%2026-08-04 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17%99.0%2026-08-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 29.24%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 35.90%175.8%2026-08-04 22:09