语言:简体中文
Watford v Crawley Town
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Watford (主队)
预测 73.01%1.37公平赔率
EV -4.35%
优势 -3.32%
Kelly -14.04%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.31
博彩公司预测分布
70.53%73.01%72.97%75.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.271.281.3183.33%78.96%78.13%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
Crawley Town (客队)
预测 9.98%10.02公平赔率
EV +9.79%
优势 +0.890%
Kelly +0.979%
增长率 +0.096%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.33%10.02%9.99%11.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.759.269.4011.0012.90%10.80%10.64%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 17.00%5.88公平赔率
EV +4.24%
优势 +0.691%
Kelly +0.826%
增长率 +0.035%
假设最高赔率为 6.13
博彩公司预测分布
15.46%16.97%17.04%18.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.855.365.306.1320.62%18.65%18.87%16.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Watford (主队)：73.01%；Crawley Town (客队)：9.98%；平局：17.00%。 对于“Crawley Town (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.02。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.00，对应+9.79%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +9.79%E +0.890%K +0.979%G +0.096% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 08:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.63%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.23%EV +2.61%E +0.253%K +0.281%G +0.007% | 6.13I 16.31%NM 15.48%EV +4.24%E +0.691%K +0.826%G +0.035% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -2.19%E -0.223%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -15.83%E -3.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -9.46%E -7.63%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -7.18%E -0.772%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.92%E -0.695%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.87%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -10.07%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.76%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.07%E -0.539%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.77%EV -17.53%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -11.65%E -9.63%K -55.49%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.12%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.71%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.92%E -8.95%K -49.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.91%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -20.15%E -2.52%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -22.65%E -2.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.61% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |