Idioma:Español
Watford v Crawley Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Watford (Local)
Predicción 73.01%1.37momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -3.32%
Kelly -14.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.53%73.01%72.97%75.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.281.3183.33%78.96%78.13%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Crawley Town (Visitante)
Predicción 9.98%10.02momio equitativo
EV +9.79%
Ventaja +0.890%
Kelly +0.979%
Crecimiento +0.096%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.33%10.02%9.99%11.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.759.269.4011.0012.90%10.80%10.64%9.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 17.00%5.88momio equitativo
EV +4.24%
Ventaja +0.691%
Kelly +0.826%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.46%16.97%17.04%18.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.855.365.306.1320.62%18.65%18.87%16.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Watford (Local): 73.01%; Crawley Town (Visitante): 9.98%; Empate: 17.00%. Para Crawley Town (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 10.02. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.79%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +9.79%E +0.890%K +0.979%G +0.096% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.82%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 08:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.63%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +4.80%E +0.457%K +0.505%G +0.024% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.23%EV +2.61%E +0.253%K +0.281%G +0.007% | 6.13I 16.31%NM 15.48%EV +4.24%E +0.691%K +0.826%G +0.035% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.22%E -0.387%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.49%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -0.189%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -2.19%E -0.223%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -15.83%E -3.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.67%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -9.46%E -7.63%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.38%E -10.32%K -61.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -5.18%E -0.545%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -7.18%E -0.772%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -3.92%E -0.695%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.87%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -10.07%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.76%EV -10.56%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.03%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.07%E -0.539%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.77%EV -17.53%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -10.17%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.18%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.17%EV -11.65%E -9.63%K -55.49%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.12%EV -12.67%E -1.45%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.71%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.92%E -8.95%K -49.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.91%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -15.16%E -1.78%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.87%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.04%EV -18.15%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -20.15%E -2.52%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -22.65%E -2.92%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.61% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |