Idioma:Español
Watford v Crawley Town
Resultado del partido
Watford (Local)
Predicción 74.20%1.35momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -3.32%
Kelly -14.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.70%74.11%73.99%75.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.60%80.65%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Crawley Town (Visitante)
Predicción 9.47%10.56momio equitativo
EV +4.13%
Ventaja +0.375%
Kelly +0.413%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.33%9.48%9.51%11.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.5010.0310.0011.0013.33%9.97%10.00%9.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 16.33%6.12momio equitativo
EV +6.17%
Ventaja +0.950%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.069%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.60%16.41%16.50%18.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.855.665.786.5020.62%17.67%17.32%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Watford (Local): 74.20%; Crawley Town (Visitante): 9.47%; Empate: 16.33%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.12. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +6.17%E +0.950%K +1.12%G +0.069% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:27 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -3.63%E -0.615%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.54%EV -8.73%E -7.10%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.34%E -0.534%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -10.22%E -8.45%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 23:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.73%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.70%EV -8.65%E -0.897%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -7.23%E -0.738%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -7.71%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.73I 11.45%NM 10.67%EV -17.36%E -1.99%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.55%EV -8.04%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.53%E -1.52%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 20:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:13 |
| betano_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -0.606%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -10.07%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.96%E -9.13%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -24.27%E -3.03%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.47%EV -11.70%E -9.83%K -61.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.71%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.13%E +0.375%K +0.413%G +0.017% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -14.81%E -1.65%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.48%E -7.77%K -43.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -29.00%E -3.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -5.02%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -19.54%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -20.78%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17% | 99.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 40.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 48.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 11.17% | 99.0% | 2026-08-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 29.24% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 34.86% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 35.90% | 175.8% | 2026-08-04 22:09 |