Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 82.83%1.21fair odd
EV -0.603%
Edge -0.502%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.28%82.68%82.83%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.141.2089.29%87.31%87.72%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marie Bouzkova (Visit)
Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd
EV +4.56%
Edge +0.749%
Kelly +0.896%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 6.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%17.32%17.17%20.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.475.506.0922.73%18.29%18.18%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 82.83%; Marie Bouzkova (Visit): 17.17%. For Marie Bouzkova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.05%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.95%EV +4.04%E +0.667%K +0.799%G +0.032% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.28%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.17%E -0.561%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.11%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.89%EV -3.68%E -0.656%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.49%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -5.40%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 05:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -8.15%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -9.00%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -12.44%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:41 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -0.603%E -0.502%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV -17.25%E -3.58%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -17.59%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.45%E -3.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -24.46%E -5.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:26 |