StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova

2026-09-05 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek (Hemma)

Prognos 81.48%1.23rättvist odds
EV -0.590%
Fördel -0.484%
Kelly -2.68%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.65%81.32%81.10%82.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.131.161.161.2288.50%86.23%86.21%81.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marie Bouzkova (Borta)

Prognos 18.52%5.40rättvist odds
EV +5.54%
Fördel +0.973%
Kelly +1.18%
Tillväxt +0.065%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.03%18.68%18.90%21.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.205.105.255.7023.81%19.60%19.05%17.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Iga Swiatek (Hemma): 81.48%; Marie Bouzkova (Borta): 18.52%. För Marie Bouzkova (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.40. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.70, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +5.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +5.54%E +0.973%K +1.18%G +0.065%3.0%2026-09-04 01:19
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.1%2026-09-03 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-04 02:50
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-03 22:45
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%6.7%2026-09-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%6.7%2026-09-03 21:50
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.50%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.50%EV +0.359%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:50
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:50
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.60%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 02:15
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:56
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 02:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:45
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 19:25
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:20
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.54%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 20:35
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:25
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:25
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:00
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.71%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.71%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:58
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:35
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 01:04
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 21:30
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -0.590%E -0.484%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -15.38%E -3.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 21:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.22%E -1.85%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.68%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -18.53%E -4.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 19:55
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -18.53%E -4.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -20.38%E -4.74%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -22.23%E -5.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 20:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-09-03 22:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%5.4%2026-09-04 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:25
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%7.5%2026-09-04 01:30
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 83.61%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.39%9.7%2026-09-04 03:15
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 57.63%1.51I 66.23%NM 42.37%56.3%2026-09-04 03:15
Arbitrage (1 kombination) +0.49%1xBet 1.22 (82.4%) / Coolbet 5.70 (17.6%)Visa detaljer
Iga Swiatek (Hemma)Marie Bouzkova (Borta)Marginal
1xBet🎯 1.22 (82.4%)Coolbet🎯 5.70 (17.6%)+0.491%