Idioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 82.83%1.21momio equitativo
EV -0.603%
Ventaja -0.502%
Kelly -3.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.28%82.68%82.83%84.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.151.141.2089.29%87.31%87.72%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)
Predicción 17.17%5.82momio equitativo
EV +4.56%
Ventaja +0.749%
Kelly +0.896%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.73%17.32%17.17%20.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.475.506.0922.73%18.29%18.18%16.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Iga Swiatek (Local): 82.83%; Marie Bouzkova (Visitante): 17.17%. Para Marie Bouzkova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.82. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.09, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.56%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.05%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.95%EV +4.04%E +0.667%K +0.799%G +0.032% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.28%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.17%E -0.561%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.11%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.89%EV -3.68%E -0.656%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.49%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -5.40%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 05:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -8.15%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -9.00%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -12.44%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:41 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -0.603%E -0.502%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV -17.25%E -3.58%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -17.59%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.45%E -3.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -24.46%E -5.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:26 |