Idioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 81.48%1.23momio equitativo
EV -0.590%
Ventaja -0.484%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.65%81.32%81.10%82.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.2288.50%86.23%86.21%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)
Predicción 18.52%5.40momio equitativo
EV +5.54%
Ventaja +0.973%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.065%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.03%18.68%18.90%21.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.205.105.255.7023.81%19.60%19.05%17.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iga Swiatek (Local): 81.48%; Marie Bouzkova (Visitante): 18.52%. Para Marie Bouzkova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.40. 8 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.70, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.54%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +5.54%E +0.973%K +1.18%G +0.065% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 01:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.50%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.50%EV +0.359%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.60%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 02:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.54%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.71%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.71%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -0.590%E -0.484%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -15.38%E -3.37%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 21:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.22%E -1.85%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.68%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -18.53%E -4.21%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -18.53%E -4.21%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -20.38%E -4.74%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -22.23%E -5.29%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 20:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 01:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.61% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.39% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 57.63% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 42.37% | 56.3% | 2026-09-04 03:15 |
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.49%1xBet 1.22 (82.4%) / Coolbet 5.70 (17.6%)Ver detalles
| Iga Swiatek (Local) | Marie Bouzkova (Visitante) | Margen |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 1.22 (82.4%) | Coolbet🎯 5.70 (17.6%) | +0.491% |