语言:简体中文
Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Iga Swiatek (主队)
预测 82.83%1.21公平赔率
EV -0.603%
优势 -0.502%
Kelly -3.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
79.28%82.68%82.83%84.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.151.141.2089.29%87.31%87.72%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Marie Bouzkova (客队)
预测 17.17%5.82公平赔率
EV +4.56%
优势 +0.749%
Kelly +0.896%
增长率 +0.041%
假设最高赔率为 6.09
博彩公司预测分布
15.73%17.32%17.17%20.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.475.506.0922.73%18.29%18.18%16.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Iga Swiatek (主队)：82.83%；Marie Bouzkova (客队)：17.17%。 对于“Marie Bouzkova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.82。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.09，对应+4.56%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.05%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.95%EV +4.04%E +0.667%K +0.799%G +0.032% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.28%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.17%E -0.561%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.11%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.89%EV -3.68%E -0.656%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.49%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -5.40%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 05:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -8.15%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -9.00%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -12.44%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:41 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -0.603%E -0.502%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV -17.25%E -3.58%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -17.59%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.45%E -3.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -24.46%E -5.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:26 |