Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova

2026-09-05 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Prévision 81.48%1.23cote équitable
EV -0.590%
Avantage -0.484%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.65%81.32%81.10%82.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.161.161.2288.50%86.23%86.21%81.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.52%5.40cote équitable
EV +5.54%
Avantage +0.973%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.03%18.68%18.90%21.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.205.105.255.7023.81%19.60%19.05%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Iga Swiatek (Local) : 81.48% ; Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur) : 18.52%. Pour Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.40. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.70, pour une espérance positive de +5.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +5.54%E +0.973%K +1.18%G +0.065%3.0%2026-09-04 01:19
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.1%2026-09-03 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-04 02:50
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-03 22:45
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%6.7%2026-09-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%6.7%2026-09-03 21:50
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.50%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.50%EV +0.359%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:50
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:50
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.60%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 02:15
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:56
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 02:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:45
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 19:25
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:20
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.54%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 20:35
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:25
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:25
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:00
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.71%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.71%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:58
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:35
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 01:04
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 21:30
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -0.590%E -0.484%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -15.38%E -3.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 21:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.22%E -1.85%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.68%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -18.53%E -4.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 19:55
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -18.53%E -4.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -20.38%E -4.74%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -22.23%E -5.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 20:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-09-03 22:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%5.4%2026-09-04 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:25
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%7.5%2026-09-04 01:30
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 83.61%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.39%9.7%2026-09-04 03:15
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 57.63%1.51I 66.23%NM 42.37%56.3%2026-09-04 03:15
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.49%1xBet 1.22 (82.4%) / Coolbet 5.70 (17.6%)Afficher les détails
Iga Swiatek (Local)Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur)Marge
1xBet🎯 1.22 (82.4%)Coolbet🎯 5.70 (17.6%)+0.491%