Langue:Français
Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prévision 82.83%1.21cote équitable
EV -0.603%
Avantage -0.502%
Kelly -3.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.28%82.68%82.83%84.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.151.141.2089.29%87.31%87.72%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.17%5.82cote équitable
EV +4.56%
Avantage +0.749%
Kelly +0.896%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 6.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.73%17.32%17.17%20.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.475.506.0922.73%18.29%18.18%16.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Iga Swiatek (Local) : 82.83% ; Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur) : 17.17%. Pour Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.82. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.09, soit une espérance positive de +4.56%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.05%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.95%EV +4.04%E +0.667%K +0.799%G +0.032% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.28%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.17%E -0.561%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.11%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.89%EV -3.68%E -0.656%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.49%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -5.40%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 05:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -8.15%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -9.00%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -12.44%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 11:41 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 19:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -0.603%E -0.502%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV -17.25%E -3.58%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -17.59%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.45%E -3.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -24.46%E -5.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:26 |