StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Endstand: Iga Swiatek 2–0 Marie Bouzkova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek (Heim)

Prognose 82.83%1.21faire Quote
EV -0.603%
Vorteil -0.502%
Kelly -3.01%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.28%82.68%82.83%84.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.121.151.141.2089.29%87.31%87.72%83.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Marie Bouzkova (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.17%5.82faire Quote
EV +4.56%
Vorteil +0.749%
Kelly +0.896%
Wachstum +0.041%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.73%17.32%17.17%20.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.405.475.506.0922.73%18.29%18.18%16.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Iga Swiatek (Heim): 82.83%; Marie Bouzkova (Auswärts): 17.17%. Für Marie Bouzkova (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.82. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.09 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.56%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041%4.1%2026-09-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV +4.56%E +0.749%K +0.896%G +0.041%4.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.05%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.95%EV +4.04%E +0.667%K +0.799%G +0.032%3.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018%2.9%2026-09-04 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018%4.4%2026-09-04 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018%4.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018%5.2%2026-09-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018%6.0%2026-09-04 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018%6.0%2026-09-04 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.28%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:05
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -3.17%E -0.561%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:10
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.11%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.89%EV -3.68%E -0.656%K -0.799%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:10
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:19
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:20
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:19
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.49%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -5.40%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 07:40
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 07:15
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 07:15
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:34
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:10
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:10
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 11:45
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 21:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:05
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 05:03
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 09:19
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -8.15%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -9.00%E -1.70%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -12.44%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:25
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.15%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:00
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -15.36%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:41
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -15.87%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:58
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -0.603%E -0.502%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV -17.25%E -3.58%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -17.59%E -3.66%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.45%E -3.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:00
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -24.46%E -5.56%K -7.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 19:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-09-03 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 08:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 08:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 08:05
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-09-04 09:05
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%1.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24%1.7%2026-09-04 09:20
Smarkets◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-09-04 14:26