Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iga Swiatek v Marie Bouzkova

2026-09-05 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iga Swiatek (Casa)

Previsione 81.48%1.23quota equa
EV -0.590%
Vantaggio -0.484%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.65%81.32%81.10%82.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.161.161.2288.50%86.23%86.21%81.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Marie Bouzkova (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.52%5.40quota equa
EV +5.54%
Vantaggio +0.973%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescita +0.065%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.03%18.68%18.90%21.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.205.105.255.7023.81%19.60%19.05%17.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Iga Swiatek (Casa): 81.48%; Marie Bouzkova (Trasferta): 18.52%. Per Marie Bouzkova (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.40. 8 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 5.70, con un valore atteso positivo del +5.54%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +5.54%E +0.973%K +1.18%G +0.065%3.0%2026-09-04 01:19
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.1%2026-09-03 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-04 02:50
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-03 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.9%2026-09-03 22:45
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%6.7%2026-09-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.92%E -7.01%K -60.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.84%E +0.335%K +0.409%G +0.008%6.7%2026-09-03 21:50
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.50%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.50%EV +0.359%E +0.066%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:50
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:50
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.86%E -0.352%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.93%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV -2.60%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 02:15
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:56
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 02:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:45
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.79%E -0.531%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 19:25
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.71%E -0.714%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 01:20
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.54%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.57%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 20:35
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:25
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:25
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.42%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:00
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.71%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -8.71%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.66%E -3.99%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 19:58
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.27%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:35
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.85%E -3.26%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.05%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 01:04
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.48%E -4.72%K -34.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -12.97%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 21:30
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -0.590%E -0.484%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -15.38%E -3.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 21:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.22%E -1.85%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.68%E -3.71%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -18.53%E -4.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 19:55
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.29%E -5.47%K -41.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -18.53%E -4.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.04%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -20.38%E -4.74%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -7.11%E -6.24%K -50.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -22.23%E -5.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 20:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-09-03 22:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%5.4%2026-09-04 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-03 23:25
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%7.5%2026-09-04 01:30
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 83.61%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.39%9.7%2026-09-04 03:15
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 57.63%1.51I 66.23%NM 42.37%56.3%2026-09-04 03:15
Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.49%1xBet 1.22 (82.4%) / Coolbet 5.70 (17.6%)Mostra dettagli
Iga Swiatek (Casa)Marie Bouzkova (Trasferta)Margine
1xBet🎯 1.22 (82.4%)Coolbet🎯 5.70 (17.6%)+0.491%