Language:English
Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka
Head to Head
Elise Mertens (Local)
Prediction 33.98%2.94fair odd
EV +0.245%
Edge +0.083%
Kelly +0.126%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%33.89%34.05%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.792.9539.22%36.10%35.84%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 66.02%1.51fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%66.11%65.95%67.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4872.46%70.12%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Elise Mertens (Local): 33.98%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 66.02%. For Elise Mertens (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.95, producing a positive expected value of +0.245%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.245%E +0.083%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.91%E -4.90%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.45%E -0.501%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.79%E -0.621%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 06:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 06:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 06:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 06:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 06:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.15%E -1.11%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 06:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 06:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 08:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 06:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.53%E -1.99%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 06:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.21%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 05:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -6.21%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 06:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -6.21%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 06:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 06:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 06:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 06:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 04:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 06:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 06:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.95%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.61%E -2.47%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 07:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -9.95%E -3.75%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.91%E -4.90%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 06:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.29%E -1.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.23%E -5.92%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 06:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.23%E -5.92%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 06:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.35%E -5.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.89%E -6.45%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-06 06:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 07:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96% | 12.4% | 2026-08-06 06:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 33.88% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 66.12% | 22.0% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 33.88% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 66.12% | 22.0% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 33.88% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 66.12% | 22.0% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |