Idioma:Español
Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elise Mertens (Local)
Predicción 31.49%3.18momio equitativo
EV +2.34%
Ventaja +0.721%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.50%31.58%31.43%34.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.2536.36%33.31%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Naomi Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 68.51%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -6.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.95%68.42%68.57%70.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.32%72.46%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elise Mertens (Local): 31.49%; Naomi Osaka (Visitante): 68.51%. Para Elise Mertens (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.18. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.34%E +0.721%K +1.04%G +0.024% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 22:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 21:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:06 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -1.43%E -0.458%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.88%E -6.68%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 21:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 19:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:07 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.47%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 15:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |