语言:简体中文
Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Elise Mertens (主队)
预测 31.49%3.18公平赔率
EV +2.34%
优势 +0.721%
Kelly +1.04%
增长率 +0.024%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.50%31.58%31.43%34.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.003.003.2536.36%33.31%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
Naomi Osaka (客队)
预测 68.51%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.72%
优势 -1.91%
Kelly -6.47%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
65.95%68.42%68.57%70.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.32%72.46%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Elise Mertens (主队)：31.49%；Naomi Osaka (客队)：68.51%。 对于“Elise Mertens (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.18。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+2.34%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.34%E +0.721%K +1.04%G +0.024% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 22:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 21:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:06 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -1.43%E -0.458%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.88%E -6.68%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 21:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 19:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:07 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.47%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 15:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |