StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-07 22:19 UTC

Endstand: Elise Mertens 0–2 Naomi Osaka

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Elise Mertens (Heim)

Prognose 31.49%3.18faire Quote
EV +2.34%
Vorteil +0.721%
Kelly +1.04%
Wachstum +0.024%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.50%31.58%31.43%34.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.753.003.003.2536.36%33.31%33.33%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Auswärts)

Prognose 68.51%1.46faire Quote
EV -2.72%
Vorteil -1.91%
Kelly -6.47%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.95%68.42%68.57%70.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.32%72.46%70.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Elise Mertens (Heim): 31.49%; Naomi Osaka (Auswärts): 68.51%. Für Elise Mertens (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.18. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.34%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.34%E +0.721%K +1.04%G +0.024%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:15
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-07 22:06
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 21:06
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 22:06
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:15
SportsBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -1.43%E -0.458%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.88%E -6.68%K -26.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 22:05
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 22:05
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 21:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 08:50
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:55
GTbets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:55
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:35
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:56
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 22:04
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 16:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 15:50
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 20:20
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:06
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:11
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:07
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:11
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:10
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 20:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 20:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.47%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 08:59
Betsson🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:04
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:30
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:10
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 15:29
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 12:30
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 12:30
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 12:30
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 13:25
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 22:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-07 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-07 22:11
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-07 22:10
Novig◎3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%0.9%2026-08-07 21:35
ProphetX◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-08-07 22:10
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%3.5%2026-08-07 22:11