預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka

開賽時間: 2026-08-07 22:19 UTC

最終賽果: Elise Mertens 0–2 Naomi Osaka

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

66 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Elise Mertens (主隊)

預測 31.49%3.18公平賠率
EV +2.34%
優勢 +0.721%
Kelly +1.04%
成長率 +0.024%

假設最高賠率為 3.25

博彩公司預測分布
29.50%31.58%31.43%34.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.753.003.003.2536.36%33.31%33.33%30.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Naomi Osaka (客隊)

預測 68.51%1.46公平賠率
EV -2.72%
優勢 -1.91%
Kelly -6.47%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.42

博彩公司預測分布
65.95%68.42%68.57%70.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.32%72.46%70.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Elise Mertens (主隊):31.49%;Naomi Osaka (客隊):68.51%。 對於「Elise Mertens (主隊)」,該估計相當於3.18的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.25,對應+2.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (66 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.34%E +0.721%K +1.04%G +0.024%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:15
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-07 22:06
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 21:06
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 22:06
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:15
SportsBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -1.43%E -0.458%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.88%E -6.68%K -26.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 22:05
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 22:05
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 21:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 08:50
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:55
GTbets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:55
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:50
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:35
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:56
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 22:04
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 16:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 15:50
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 20:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 20:20
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:06
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:11
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:07
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:11
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:10
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 20:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 20:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.47%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 08:59
Betsson🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:04
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:30
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:10
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 15:29
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 12:30
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 12:30
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 12:30
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 13:25
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 22:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-07 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-08-07 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-07 22:11
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-07 22:10
Novig◎3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%0.9%2026-08-07 21:35
ProphetX◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-08-07 22:10
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%3.5%2026-08-07 22:11