Język:Polski
Elise Mertens v Naomi Osaka
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Elise Mertens (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 31.49%3.18kurs godziwy
EV +2.34%
Przewaga +0.721%
Kelly +1.04%
Wzrost +0.024%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.50%31.58%31.43%34.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.003.003.2536.36%33.31%33.33%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Naomi Osaka (Goście)
Prognoza 68.51%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -2.72%
Przewaga -1.91%
Kelly -6.47%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.95%68.42%68.57%70.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.32%72.46%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Elise Mertens (Gospodarze): 31.49%; Naomi Osaka (Goście): 68.51%. Dla wyniku Elise Mertens (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.18. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.34%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.34%E +0.721%K +1.04%G +0.024% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 22:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 21:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:06 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -0.805%E -0.255%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -1.43%E -0.458%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.88%E -6.68%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 21:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.38%E -0.767%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.27%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 19:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:07 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.47%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.40%E -2.41%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 15:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.83%E -5.02%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.09%E -2.92%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.72%E -1.91%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.46%E -3.95%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 22:11 |